ACUS11 KWNS 040958
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040958=20
ARZ000-OKZ000-041100-

Mesoscale Discussion 0356
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0458 AM CDT Sat Apr 04 2026

Areas affected...Parts of Arkansas into far southeastern Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 95...96...

Valid 040958Z - 041100Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 95, 96
continues.

SUMMARY...Strong to locally damaging gusts remain possible. A
downstream watch is not expected.

DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms tracking eastward along a cold front/large-scale outflow boundary in AR and far southeastern OK has
decreased in intensity over the last hour as it moves eastward into
weaker surface-based buoyancy and limited large-scale forcing for
ascent. Nevertheless, the established cold pool and 40-kt flow in
the lowest 1 km AGL (per LZK VWP) will still support strong to
locally damaging gusts, given weakly unstable surface-based inflow.
Current expectation is for a continued weakening trend with eastward
extent, and a downstream watch is not expected.

..Weinman/Guyer.. 04/04/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8pUJ4y9-hRF5zoRIdOA39Q0FpMDEGEY5IXKrgaVQM2ajQ2OqADqkLqwGyDO4Dj1c--R-1yHU4= QhEe8NNWkepr5ARUOo$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...

LAT...LON 34699496 34839452 34889371 35109309 35839269 36129224
36349184 36339145 36139131 35679137 35059176 34599231
34219385 34199464 34319496 34699496=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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