• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1351

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/127 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 27 19:48:36 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 271948
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 271948=20
    NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-272145-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1351
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0248 PM CDT Sat Jun 27 2026

    Areas affected...portions of the western Carolinas

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 271948Z - 272145Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Clusters of storms may produce sporadic damaging gusts
    this afternoon across portions of the western Carolinas. A watch is
    not anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...Clusters of thunderstorms are ongoing across portions
    of the southern Appalachians this afternoon. These storms are near a
    subtle mid-level jet max as sampled by the KMRX VWP. Additionally,
    short-term RAP profiles in the area show a reasonably moist
    atmosphere given the location and time of year, with some drier
    boundary layer air near the mountains. The enhanced mid-level flow
    provides enough shear (25-30 kts) to organize the convection into
    line segments as seen on regional WSR-88D. A few of these line
    segments have produced gusts near or above 40 kt over the last hour
    or so. These storms may produce occasional sporadic damaging gusts
    as they move eastward, and a watch is not anticipated at this time,
    however, trends will be monitored.

    ..Supinie/Guyer.. 06/27/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6QJdN2OccToUKfPSm-qip_aJ5kKV0QVTHMUIh1oatUZxiWc04C4D6o6QqKVsYHE3xkCJbq4L8= lhRDycIxVY4aP87Bn4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...

    LAT...LON 35828198 36388125 36588080 36528013 36347982 35768017
    35078042 34238090 33808139 33798201 34008259 34648259
    35348243 35828198=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Weather Station (1:2320/127)