• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1364

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/127 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Jun 28 07:38:13 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 280738
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 280737=20
    MNZ000-IAZ000-SDZ000-NEZ000-280930-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1364
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0237 AM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026

    Areas affected...southeast South Dakota...southwest
    Minnesota...northwest Iowa

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 410...

    Valid 280737Z - 280930Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 410
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A corridor of damaging winds may persist across southeast
    South Dakota, with threat possibly extending into southwest
    Minnesota and northwest Iowa.

    DISCUSSION...Several severe cells currently exist near and just
    north of the SD/NE border, and continue to move east. Earlier,
    several gusts near 60 kt were reported, though more recent
    measurements indicate somewhat lesser peak gusts closer to 50 kt
    into the Wagner area.

    A moist air mass remains ahead of this storm complex, driven by
    strong warm advection with a 40-50 kt low-level jet. This should
    support strong to severe storms at least across SD, and perhaps into
    MN and IA an elevated influx of unstable air continues. Trends will
    continue to be monitored for an additional watch.

    ..Jewell.. 06/28/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6-jq5S8JHTdF12vb4lGDY5ibPy8zHwKfIuJun6tdhZPcwrFV1RbVODSzhQyjBAT8xVvzez0UP= hiZXSGKkDar8Fboeyo$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...

    LAT...LON 43719813 43969700 44179566 43949532 43449511 43149513
    42889528 42789617 42799696 42869823 43299808 43719813=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Weather Station (1:2320/127)