ACUS11 KWNS 291910
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 291909=20
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-NCZ000-292145-

Mesoscale Discussion 1381
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0209 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

Areas affected...portions of western south Carolina and eastern
Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 291909Z - 292145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A few damaging gusts possible across portions of western
South Carolina and eastern Georgia. A watch is not anticipated at
this time.

DISCUSSION...Convection is developing near the Georgia/South
Carolina border at the periphery of an upper-level ridge. A deep,
moist air mass is in place with weak flow throughout the column, as
shown by the JAX 18Z RAOB. The weak flow is giving rise to mainly
single-cell convection with occasional multicells, and a few weak
downburst signatures have been observed on regional WSR-88Ds. Due to
the moist profiles, some damaging gusts may occur with water-loaded
downdrafts, and any clustering may increase the potential for
damaging gusts. Additionally, a weak surface boundary may provide a
focus for additional convection as the afternoon progresses.
However, the coverage of damaging gusts is expected to be sparse
enough that a watch is not anticipated at this time.

..Supinie/Guyer.. 06/29/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!649qGG09928oVThwpWxNgeox5FQn0th6_vP2HWkmD5vPJit2SVzbRfNjCd_R0yMcV7tl3YDSe= nmoBfWtaRmUZZ_Lsz0$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON 32188057 34478189 35198233 35328289 35108326 33528375
32058351 30928248 30618152 31308104 32188057=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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* Origin: Capitol City Weather Station (1:2320/127)