• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1415

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/127 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Jul 1 15:11:47 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 011511
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 011511=20
    WIZ000-011645-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1415
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1011 AM CDT Wed Jul 01 2026

    Areas affected...central Wisconsin

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 011511Z - 011645Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...The severe weather threat is increasing across central
    Wisconsin.

    DISCUSSION...Storms on the southern end of a storm cluster across
    western Wisconsin have started to increase in intensity recently.
    The airmass ahead of these storms continues to destabilize with
    dewpoints in the low to mid 70s and temperatures in the low to mid
    80s. A localized corridor of higher severe weather threat may exist
    with this activity as it moves east along the outflow boundary from
    morning convection through the late morning and early afternoon.
    Isolated large hail and damaging winds will be the primary threats.

    ..Bentley/Guyer.. 07/01/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7OrOMzOzKjmB5xCV4gMqug_HC6OSRJ1uhIOybzM51eBn2xrGr2VCO2mzz8bK_vWS47KgKTLQl= d5NtjIL1FNQyFy7StY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...ARX...

    LAT...LON 43338848 43218934 43219052 43739074 43949037 44198896
    44078789 43778769 43418789 43338848=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Weather Station (1:2320/127)