ACUS11 KWNS 020143
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020143=20
KSZ000-COZ000-020345-

Mesoscale Discussion 1432
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0843 PM CDT Wed Jul 01 2026

Areas affected...Portions of western Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 433...

Valid 020143Z - 020345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 433
continues.

SUMMARY...Upscale-growing thunderstorm clusters should promote an
increasing risk of severe wind gusts over the next few hours --
within Severe Thunderstorm Watch 433.

DISCUSSION...Earlier high-based thunderstorms are beginning to
increase in coverage and intensity as they spread/develop
northeastward along a NNE/SSW-oriented surface boundary in western
KS. Here, richer boundary-layer moisture and steep midlevel lapse
rates are contributing to strong surface-based buoyancy (per the 00Z
DDC sounding). The GLD VWP is sampling around 45 kt of 0-6 km shear
(likely weaker with southward extent), which combined with the
strong buoyancy, should promote convective clustering and an
increasing risk of severe wind gusts over the next few hours.

..Weinman.. 07/02/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!76ZjeDJPFZef0ozCMgzZ5IPtNOiLbMNG-lP4V793cVYtkY-TW90ak9BzKJekotbl-Norom6Xt= 7wX7ak_zjFvpZTpEzo$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...

LAT...LON 37740228 39100195 39620142 39830112 39930044 39790002
39449985 38510014 37810049 37380104 37300164 37380207
37740228=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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* Origin: Capitol City Weather Station (1:2320/127)