• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1445

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/127 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Jul 2 20:42:33 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 022042
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 022041=20
    SDZ000-022215-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1445
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0341 PM CDT Thu Jul 02 2026

    Areas affected...east-central South Dakota

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 439...

    Valid 022041Z - 022215Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 439
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A cluster of supercells will continue slowly eastward this
    afternoon and evening.

    DISCUSSION...Very large hail (up to 3 inches) and brief tornadoes
    have been reported with the supercell that began in Brule county and
    has moved slowly northeastward. The tornado threat will likely
    remain as this supercell moves along the stalled outflow boundary.
    The cluster of supercells from the west is moving eastward quickly
    and will likely overtake this supercell within the hour. Additional
    convection to the south (with a recent measured 69 mph wind gust)
    indicates the potential for additional development and some upscale
    growth. If this occurs and the cluster accelerates east/southeast,
    watch 439 may need to be expanded.

    ..Bentley.. 07/02/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_1uYYLOCb8YbAzmDUc8rEkkQpoxs3R7tPlLaAyRRkwr5Ov92qKe-VvgY7WYyT_KVBHe5b-rLE= eXfVEc0Mmf_LGmV3tw$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...UNR...

    LAT...LON 44200004 44359866 44499818 44539736 44269715 43999740
    43749821 43589904 43669967 43960022 44200004=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Weather Station (1:2320/127)