ACUS11 KWNS 050025
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050024=20
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-050200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1506
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0724 PM CDT Sat Jul 04 2026

Areas affected...Central Nebraska into extreme northeast Colorado

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 461...

Valid 050024Z - 050200Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 461
continues.

SUMMARY...A storm cluster in central Nebraska will continue
developing south-southeastward next 1-2 hours with isolated
strong-severe wind/hail. Additional cluster development in extreme
northeast Colorado could pose some wind/hail threat southwest of the
current watch area.

DISCUSSION...Storms in central NE have grown into a small cluster
that is developing south-southeastward on outflow, while newer
storms have strengthened in far northeast CO. There is a small
contribution to ascent in the watch area as a diffuse mid-upper
trough approaches from the northwest, as well as some enhancement of northwesterly mid-upper flow (25-30 kt). The NE and CO clusters
will pose a threat for isolated severe outflow gusts and large hail
for the next couple of hours. After about 02-03z, storm longevity
comes into question with an increase in convective inhibition and a
lack of a low-level jet. Thus, it is not clear that any watch
extensions or a new watch into far northeast CO/northwest KS will be
necessary.

..Thompson.. 07/05/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_gPU67PXYIyiKJCavyWRnoq0cAnzKeI4WBrzIrG5ghJaXxk7Mjk58L5hLbk0rHVSz9vHjoIum= 5ia4TJMQcO1zyJHvPc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...

LAT...LON 41599999 42269868 41999841 41569858 41119926 40420072
39940134 39600206 39700278 39960285 40610244 40890205
41340099 41599999=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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* Origin: Capitol City Weather Station (1:2320/127)