• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1474

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jun 27 20:04:53 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 272003
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 272003=20
    MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-272130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1474
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0303 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

    Areas affected...Southern/eastern Lower MI into northeast IN and
    northwest OH

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 466...

    Valid 272003Z - 272130Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 466
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Damaging winds remain possible through late afternoon.

    DISCUSSION...A line of storms has developed this afternoon from
    southern lower MI into northern IN. Weak midlevel lapse rates and
    modest deep-layer shear have limited storm organization, with the
    strongest measured gusts thus far in the 40-45 kt range. However,
    moderate southwesterly flow above the surface (as noted in regional
    VWPs) has resulted in relatively fast moving outflows and storm
    motions, and may continue to support a threat for damaging strong to
    locally severe gusts through the remainder of the afternoon.=20

    The ongoing small cluster east of Lansing may pose the greatest
    short-term threat, given its favorable north-south orientation and
    somewhat stronger deep-layer flow/shear with northern extent. Some intensification and/or redevelopment remains possible farther south
    within a moderately unstable environment into far southern Lower MI,
    northeast IN, and northwest OH.

    ..Dean.. 06/27/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7hjfC5BxCms9NnRsgt_uNrRd9t64PYgv5nnXGbFbvoAZYAQCoiVwvb2cEUc-NwNjkX0spqyY5= pNIDDKoY73TIB1ooqA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...APX...IWX...GRR...

    LAT...LON 40848551 41128565 41448577 42008601 42788449 43188429
    43648435 44518339 44348221 43838216 43358236 42528276
    41868340 40828459 40558495 40498526 40638549 40848551=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
    To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

    --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
    * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)