• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1483

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Jun 28 03:25:56 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 280325
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 280325=20
    IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-280400-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1483
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1025 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

    Areas affected...Northeast Nebraska and far southeast South Dakota

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch needed soon=20

    Valid 280325Z - 280400Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

    SUMMARY...A bowing cluster with a history of severe outflow winds
    may persist through about 06z.

    DISCUSSION...A bowing cluster, with a history of measure outflow
    gusts up to 77-82 mph, is well organized and will likely pose a
    continued severe threat for another few hours. The cluster is
    moving along the corridor of maximum buoyancy, and will be fed by a
    30-40 kt low-level jet. These factors may offset the gradual
    increase in convective inhibition and allow the storm cluster to
    persist near the MO River through about 06z. Thereafter, the
    strengthening cap should result in gradual weakening of the storms.

    ..Thompson/Guyer.. 06/28/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-CXDPChSlPoWSaYROzT9RxB7V7XMzMT9jnI6Ql1m7fNKVUMG8_flRbjGV_K34DBrI1UjvNQ5X= cb24HMzqzVXXVGQvlY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...

    LAT...LON 42999818 43319767 43219719 42989662 42739630 42199628
    42159640 42309737 42609798 42999818=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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