• TD2 Heavy Rains Ea Mexico

    From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Sun Jun 29 09:04:00 2025
    441
    WTNT32 KNHC 291152
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Two Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022025
    700 AM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

    ...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER EASTERN MEXICO TODAY...


    SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...20.0N 96.0W
    ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM N OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
    ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Gulf coast of Mexico from Boca de Catan southward to Tecolutla

    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
    12-24 hours.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
    located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 96.0 West. The
    depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h).
    A turn to the northwest is expected later today. On the forecast
    track, the system is expected to move inland over eastern Mexico
    later today or tonight.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Some slight additional strengthening is possible before the
    system reaches the coast of eastern Mexico.

    The estimated minimum central pressure based on Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance data is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Depression Two can be found in the
    Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
    header WTNT42 KNHC.

    RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Two is expected to produce rainfall
    totals of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 10 inches,
    across the Mexican states of Veracruz, San Luis Potosi, and
    Tamaulipas through Monday. This rainfall may produce
    life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of
    steep terrain.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
    associated with Tropical Depression Two, please see the National
    Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf

    WIND: Tropical storm conditions, especially in gusts, are expected
    in the tropical storm warning area beginning this afternoon.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
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