• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1519

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 30 06:04:43 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 300604
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 300604=20
    OKZ000-300830-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1519
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0104 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025

    Areas affected...Central Oklahoma

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 300604Z - 300830Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated severe wind gusts will be possible over the next
    few hours across parts of central Oklahoma. The threat should remain
    localized, and weather watch issuance is not anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...The latest hi-resolution radar data from Oklahoma City
    shows a short line segment, with severe wind gusts in north-central
    Oklahoma. This line is moving southward along the western edge of a
    pocket of moderate instability into an area where surface dewpoints
    are near 70 F. There appears to be some support on water vapor
    imagery, from a shortwave trough extending southwestward from the
    Ozarks into the southern Plains. As the cold pool associated with
    the line moves southward into central Oklahoma over the next few
    hours, isolated damaging wind gusts will be possible. The greatest
    wind-damage potential is expected to remain focused along the
    western edge of the ongoing convection that is currently draped
    across north-central and northeast Oklahoma.

    ..Broyles/Smith.. 06/30/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9Pe9SMctA8qHDQX4q10VMrTyQbmqjgla9ubVGvLy_YrxGVfY16HzSFV8sab5h6DOR6Jv0HDgK= Zg5tHvWaOPn1U7X4o0$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...

    LAT...LON 34869717 34749775 34879831 35439851 35719847 35949840
    36139810 36209770 36139729 35949704 35419695 34869717=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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